Smarter Player Prop
Research
Per-stat projections for NFL and NBA, powered by matchup analysis and backtested against real sportsbook lines.
Validated on 20,000+ historical prop bets across a full NBA season.
NBA — Today's Top Picks
Our highest-confidence plays for today, based on projection edge and AI model
MLB — Today's Top Picks
Our highest-confidence plays for today, based on projection edge and AI model
What You Get
Every tool is designed to help you make sharper prop decisions.
Player Projections
Per-stat projections tuned with weighted rolling averages, opponent difficulty, and home/away splits.
Matchup Analysis
Defense rankings for every stat and team. See which matchups boost or suppress player production.
Value Finder
Compare projections against live lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars. Spot the biggest edges.
How It Works
We project
Our model generates per-stat projections using historical performance, matchup data, and usage trends.
We compare
Projections are compared against live prop lines from major sportsbooks to find disagreements.
You decide
Each play gets a value rating based on matchup quality — the strongest predictor we've found.